METHOD OF DETERMINING THE PROBABILITY OF RECEIVING A COMBAT INJURY BY A SECURITY FORCE EMPLOYEE UNDER ENEMY FIRE INFLUENCE

Abstract

The article addresses the issue of determining the probability of a security forces officer sustaining a combat injury under conditions of enemy fire.

An improved method for determining the probability of a security forces officer sustaining a combat injury under enemy fire has been developed. This method involves decomposing the target into elementary areas, calculating the probability of a striking element hitting each of these areas, estimating the probability of damage to each area considering the ballistic resistance diagrams of protective elements and the number of shots from a specific weapon, and determining based on this the probability of sustaining a combat injury from one or several types of weapons used simultaneously by the enemy. Unlike existing methods, this approach takes into account qualitative changes in the protection level of security forces personnel provided by protective elements depending on the characteristics of the enemy's weapons and the distance at which they are used.

Using the improved method, probabilities of security forces personnel sustaining combat injuries during task execution were calculated based on the protective characteristics of individual protection equipment, as well as the characteristics and number of the enemy's small arms in a developed scenario.

The calculations revealed that incorporating individual body armor in combat equipment may be impractical in situations where enemy fire conditions involve simultaneous use of multiple weapons against a single target. In certain operational conditions, individual body armor loses its significance in providing a specified level of survivability for security forces personnel. To assess the survivability of security forces personnel during task execution, it is essential to forecast the enemy's small arms and ammunition to identify critical distances for selecting protective elements of individual body armor with optimal protective characteristics, as well as the ratio of enemy weapons to designated targets.