MODELING AND FORECAST THE RESULTS OF ANTI-AIRCRAFT MISSILE GROUPING'S AIR DEFENSE BATTLE

Authors

  • Viacheslav Gorodnov

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33405/2078-7480/2025/2/93/339308

Keywords:

air defense, anti-aircraft missile forces grouping, Markov processes, modeling

Abstract

Using a real example and a special method, the essential properties and internal law of anti-aircraft missile grouping's air defense battle were revealed. A statistically sound mathematical modeling apparatus in the class of Markov processes with continuous time and discrete states was selected. A model with an analytical description of battle internal law was developed, its adequacy to real battle was tested, and an estimate of predicting battle results accuracy was found.

References

Zhao Z. Q., Hao J. X., Li L. J. (2017). Study on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense Missile Weapon System Based on Queuing Theory. In : 7th International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering. Nanjing: SPIE. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.1117/12.2266077 [in English].

Rao D. V., Ravishankar M. A. (2020). Methodology for Optimal Deployment and Effectiveness Evaluation of Air Defense Resources Using Game Theory. Sadhana, no. 45, pp. 1‒15. DO: https://doi.org/I 10.1007/s12046-020-1293-8 [in English].

Ding J., Zhao Q., Li J., Xu J. (2019). Temporal Constraint Modeling and Conflict Resolving Based on the Combat Process of Air and Missile Defense System. In: IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC). Bari: IEEE, pp. 2684‒2689. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.1109/ SMC.2019.8914484 [in English].

Gao X., Lu C., Tang J., Fan L., Ling Y., Li Y. (2016). An Evaluation Method of Object-Oriented Petri Net on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense and Antimissile. In: 8th IEEE International Conference on Communication Software and Networks (ICCSN). Beijing : IEEE, pp. 590‒596. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.1109/ICCSN. 2016.7586592 [in English].

Zhong Z., Zhang L. (2020). The Combat Application of Queuing Theory Model in Formation Ship to Air Missile Air Defense Operations. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1570, 012083. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.1088/1742-6596/1570/1/012083 [in English].

Gorodnov V. P. (2021). Option of Methodological and Technological Bases of Development, Evaluation and Forecast the Efficiency of Real Objectsʹ and Processesʹ Mathematical Models. InterConf, no. 67, pp. 444‒460. DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.51582/ interconf.19-20.07.2021.046 [in English].

Gorodnov V. P. (1987). Modeliuvannia boiovykh dii chastyn, ziednan ta obiednan Viisk PPO [Modeling of Combat Operations of Units, Formations and Associations of the Air Defense Forces]. Kharkiv : VIRTA [in Ukrainian].

Gorodnov V. P. (2013). Vyshcha matematyka (populiarna, iz prykladamy) [Higher Mathematics (in Simple Language, With Examples)]. Kharkiv : Akad. VV MVS Ukrainy [in Ukrainian].

Gorodnov V. P. (2009). Teoretychni osnovy modeliuvannia mikpoekonomichnykh ta inshykh protsesiv ta system [Theoretical Bases of Modeling of Microeconomic and Other Processes and Systems]. Kharkiv : Akad. VV MVS Ukrainy [in Ukrainian].

Published

2025-09-17

Issue

Section

Articles